{"id":520,"date":"2026-01-15T16:43:55","date_gmt":"2026-01-15T08:43:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/166880.com\/?p=520"},"modified":"2026-01-15T16:44:39","modified_gmt":"2026-01-15T08:44:39","slug":"%e5%a4%aa%e9%98%b3%e7%b3%bb%e7%9a%84%e7%a8%b3%e5%ae%9a%ef%bc%8c%e7%a9%b6%e7%ab%9f%e8%83%bd%e7%bb%b4%e6%8c%81%e5%a4%9a%e4%b9%85%ef%bc%9f","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/166880.com\/?p=520","title":{"rendered":"\u592a\u9633\u7cfb\u7684\u7a33\u5b9a\uff0c\u7a76\u7adf\u80fd\u7ef4\u6301\u591a\u4e45\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

Jacques Laskar\u6559\u6388\u8bc1\u660e\u592a\u9633\u7cfb\u7684\u957f\u671f\u6f14\u5316\u662f\u6df7\u6c8c\u7684\uff0c\u7cbe\u786e\u8f68\u9053\u9884\u6d4b\u5b58\u5728\u5185\u5728\u65f6\u95f4\u6781\u9650\u3002\uff08\u53d7\u8bbf\u8005\u4f9b\u56fe\uff09<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u64b0\u6587\uff5c<\/strong>\u674e\u660e\u677e \u8d75\u7ef4\u6770<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6765\u6e90\uff1a\u77e5\u8bc6\u5206\u5b50<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u96c5\u514b\u00b7\u62c9\u65af\u5361\uff08Jacques Laskar\uff0c1955\u5e74\u751f\uff09\u662f\u8457\u540d\u7684\u6cd5\u56fd\u5929\u6587\u5b66\u5bb6\u548c\u5929\u4f53\u529b\u5b66\u5bb6\uff0c\u73b0\u4efb\u6cd5\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u79d1\u5b66\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u5fc3\uff08CNRS\uff09\u7814\u7a76\u4e3b\u4efb\u3001\u5df4\u9ece\u5929\u6587\u53f0\u7814\u7a76\u5458\u3002\u4ed6\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u663e\u8457\u63a8\u52a8\u5e76\u6df1\u5316\u4e86\u4eba\u7c7b\u5bf9\u592a\u9633\u7cfb\u957f\u671f\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u884c\u4e3a\u4ee5\u53ca\u5730\u7403\u6c14\u5019\u6f14\u5316\u80cc\u666f\u7684\u8ba4\u8bc6\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

1989\u5e74\uff0c\u4ed6\u4ece\u6570\u5b66\u4e0a\u63ed\u793a\u592a\u9633\u7cfb\u8f68\u9053\u5728\u957f\u65f6\u95f4\u5c3a\u5ea6\u4e0a\u5177\u6709\u6df7\u6c8c\u7279\u5f81\uff0c\u662f\u65e0\u6cd5\u7cbe\u51c6\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u3002\u4ed6\u8fd8\u8ba1\u7b97\u5e76\u53d1\u5e03\u4e86\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u5929\u6587\u8f68\u9053\u89e3\uff0c\u4e3a\u5730\u8d28\u5e74\u4ee3\u5b66\u4e2d\u7684\u5929\u6587\u6821\u51c6\u5960\u5b9a\u4e86\u5173\u952e\u57fa\u7840\u3002\u51ed\u501f\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5f00\u521b\u6027\u8d21\u732e\uff0c\u4ed6\u5c61\u83b7\u6b8a\u8363\uff0c\u5f53\u9009\u4e3a\u6cd5\u56fd\u79d1\u5b66\u9662\u9662\u58eb\uff0c\u5e76\u6709\u4e00\u9897\u5c0f\u884c\u661f\u4ee5\u5176\u540d\u5b57\u547d\u540d\uff0818605 Jacqueslaskar\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8fd1\u5e74\u6765\uff0c\u4ed6\u805a\u7126\u4e8eAstroGeo\u7814\u7a76\u9879\u76ee\uff0c\u81f4\u529b\u4e8e\u5229\u7528\u5730\u8d28\u8bb0\u5f55\u53cd\u6f14\u8fdc\u53e4\u5929\u6587\u8f68\u9053\u53c2\u6570\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u5728\u5730\u8d28\u65f6\u95f4\u5c3a\u5ea6\u4e0a\u5bf9\u592a\u9633\u7cfb\u884c\u661f\u8f68\u9053\u6f14\u5316\u7ed9\u51fa\u66f4\u53ef\u9760\u7684\u7ea6\u675f\u548c\u91cd\u5efa\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

2025\u5e7412\u6708\uff0c\u300a\u56fd\u5bb6\u79d1\u5b66\u8bc4\u8bba\u300b\uff08National Science Review, NSR<\/em>\uff09\u5728\u5317\u4eac\u5bf9Laskar\u6559\u6388\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u4e13\u8bbf\u3002\u5728\u91c7\u8bbf\u4e2d\uff0c\u4ed6\u5206\u4eab\u4e86\u5bf9\u592a\u9633\u7cfb\u8fc7\u53bb\u3001\u73b0\u5728\u548c\u672a\u6765\u7684\u7406\u89e3\uff0c\u8ba8\u8bba\u4e86\u4ed6\u7684\u5f53\u524d\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u5e76\u56de\u987e\u4e86\u81ea\u5df1\u4e0d\u540c\u5bfb\u5e38\u7684\u804c\u4e1a\u751f\u6daf\u2014\u2014\u4ece\u9ad8\u4e2d\u6570\u5b66\u6559\u5e08\u5411\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u7684\u8f6c\u578b\u4e4b\u8def\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

01<\/strong>\u592a\u9633\u7cfb\u7684\u6df7\u6c8c\u672c\u6027<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

NSR\uff1a<\/strong>\u5982\u679c\u8ba9\u4f60\u6765\u63cf\u8ff0\u592a\u9633\u7cfb\uff0c\u628a\u5b83\u7684\u6f14\u5316\u5386\u53f2\u3001\u73b0\u6709\u7ed3\u6784\u3001\u5185\u5728\u7279\u6027\u7b49\u90fd\u7eb3\u5165\u8003\u8651\uff0c\u4f60\u8111\u6d77\u6d6e\u73b0\u51fa\u7684\u6700\u9c9c\u660e\u7684\u56fe\u666f\u662f\u600e\u6837\u7684\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Laskar\uff1a<\/strong>\u5728\u6211\u770b\u6765\uff0c\u592a\u9633\u7cfb\u76ee\u524d\u6240\u5448\u73b0\u7684\u7ed3\u6784\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u4f5c\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u957f\u671f\u81ea\u7ec4\u7ec7\u8fc7\u7a0b\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u3002\u5728\u5f62\u6210\u65e9\u671f\uff0c\u592a\u9633\u7cfb\u4e2d\u53ef\u80fd\u5b58\u5728\u6bd4\u4eca\u5929\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u884c\u661f\uff0c\u6574\u4f53\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u72b6\u6001\u975e\u5e38\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\uff0c\u884c\u661f\u4e4b\u95f4\u8fd8\u4f1a\u53d1\u751f\u78b0\u649e\u3002\u6bcf\u6b21\u78b0\u649e\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u7cfb\u7edf\u7ed3\u6784\u90fd\u4f1a\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u52a0\u7a33\u5b9a\uff0c\u884c\u661f\u8f68\u9053\u76f8\u4e92\u4ea4\u53c9\u7684\u6982\u7387\u4f1a\u964d\u4f4e\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4eba\u4eec\u901a\u5e38\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u592a\u9633\u7cfb\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u6700\u540e\u4e00\u6b21\u91cd\u5927\u884c\u661f\u78b0\u649e\u4e8b\u4ef6\u521b\u9020\u4e86\u6708\u7403\uff1a\u5730\u7403\u4e0e\u4e00\u4e2a\u539f\u672c\u4f4d\u4e8e\u5730\u7403\u4e0e\u706b\u661f\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u706b\u661f\u5927\u5c0f\u7684\u5929\u4f53\u53d1\u751f\u4e86\u5267\u70c8\u649e\u51fb\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5728\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u78b0\u649e\u4e8b\u4ef6\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u592a\u9633\u7cfb\u6700\u7ec8\u8fdb\u5165\u4e86\u4e00\u79cd\u63a5\u8fd1\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u201c\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\u8fb9\u7f18\u201d\u7684\u72b6\u6001\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u79cd\u72b6\u6001\u4e0b\uff0c\u884c\u661f\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u76f4\u63a5\u78b0\u649e\u5728\u77ed\u65f6\u95f4\u5c3a\u5ea6\u4e0a\u6781\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u4e0e\u884c\u661f\u7cfb\u7edf\u5e74\u9f84\u76f8\u5f53\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u5c3a\u5ea6\u4e0a\uff0c\u5e76\u4e0d\u80fd\u88ab\u5b8c\u5168\u6392\u9664\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

1994\u5e74\uff0c\u6211\u57fa\u4e8e\u5bf9\u592a\u9633\u7cfb\u957f\u671f\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u884c\u4e3a\u7684\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u63d0\u51fa\u8bb8\u591a\u7cfb\u5916\u884c\u661f\u7cfb\u7edf\u53ef\u80fd\u4e5f\u5904\u4e8e\u7c7b\u4f3c\u7684\u8fb9\u9645\u7a33\u5b9a\u72b6\u6001\u3002\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u884c\u661f\u95f4\u7684\u78b0\u649e\u5728\u539f\u5219\u4e0a\u662f\u53ef\u80fd\u53d1\u751f\u7684\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u79cd\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u4e3b\u8981\u4f53\u73b0\u5728\u4e0e\u884c\u661f\u7cfb\u7edf\u5e74\u9f84\u76f8\u5f53\u7684\u957f\u65f6\u95f4\u5c3a\u5ea6\u4e0a\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u72b6\u6001\u4e5f\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u4ece\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u89d2\u5ea6\u770b\uff0c\u73b0\u6709\u7684\u884c\u661f\u7cfb\u7edf\u5e38\u5e38\u662f\u201c\u6ee1\u7684\u201d\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u518d\u5411\u5176\u4e2d\u5f15\u5165\u989d\u5916\u7684\u884c\u661f\uff0c\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u8fc5\u901f\u89e6\u53d1\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u5bfc\u81f4\u884c\u661f\u78b0\u649e\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

NSR\uff1a<\/strong>\u6211\u4eec\u5bf9\u592a\u9633\u7cfb\u7684\u8ba4\u8bc6\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u4e3a\u5bfb\u627e\u5176\u4ed6\u5b9c\u5c45\u661f\u7403\u63d0\u4f9b\u54ea\u4e9b\u542f\u53d1\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Laskar\uff1a<\/strong>1993\u5e74\uff0c\u6211\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6ca1\u6709\u6708\u7403\u7684\u5b58\u5728\uff0c\u5730\u7403\u81ea\u8f6c\u8f74\u7684\u503e\u89d2\u5c06\u96be\u4ee5\u4fdd\u6301\u7a33\u5b9a\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5728\u4ece0\u00b0\u523090\u00b0\u7684\u8303\u56f4\u5185\u65e0\u5e8f\u53d8\u5316\u3002\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\uff0c\u5f53\u6211\u4eec\u627e\u5230\u4e00\u9897\u4f4d\u4e8e\u5b9c\u5c45\u5e26\u7684\u7cfb\u5916\u884c\u661f\uff0c\u8fd8\u4e0d\u80fd\u8bf4\u5b83\u4f1a\u662f\u201c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u4e2a\u5730\u7403\u201d\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b83\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u6ca1\u6709\u7a33\u5b9a\u7684\u81ea\u8f6c\u503e\u89d2\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u8981\u627e\u5230\u4e00\u9897\u50cf\u5730\u7403\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u884c\u661f\uff0c\u5e76\u4e0d\u5bb9\u6613\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u9700\u8981\u8003\u8651\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u662f\uff0c\u57fa\u4e8e\u73b0\u6709\u7684\u89c2\u6d4b\u6761\u4ef6\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u4eba\u4eec\u4e3b\u8981\u5728\u5c0f\u6052\u661f\u5468\u56f4\u5bfb\u627e\u7cfb\u5916\u884c\u661f\u3002\u7136\u800c\u5c0f\u6052\u661f\u7684\u5b9c\u5c45\u5e26\u975e\u5e38\u9760\u8fd1\u6052\u661f\uff0c\u5728\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u884c\u661f\u5f80\u5f80\u5bb9\u6613\u8fdb\u5165\u6f6e\u6c50\u9501\u5b9a\u72b6\u6001\uff0c\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u5b83\u4eec\u603b\u662f\u4ee5\u76f8\u540c\u7684\u4e00\u9762\u671d\u5411\u6052\u661f\uff0c\u5c31\u50cf\u6708\u4eae\u603b\u662f\u4ee5\u540c\u4e00\u9762\u671d\u5411\u5730\u7403\u4e00\u6837\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u8fd9\u5e76\u4e0d\u610f\u5473\u7740\u8fd9\u4e9b\u884c\u661f\u4e0a\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u5b58\u5728\u751f\u547d\uff0c\u4f46\u5b83\u4eec\u80af\u5b9a\u4f1a\u548c\u5730\u7403\u4e0a\u7684\u751f\u547d\u5f88\u4e0d\u4e00\u6837\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

NSR\uff1a<\/strong>\u51e0\u4e2a\u4e16\u7eaa\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u4eba\u7c7b\u5bf9\u592a\u9633\u7cfb\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\u53d1\u751f\u4e86\u5267\u53d8\u3002\u8fd9\u4e2a\u79d1\u5b66\u5386\u7a0b\u4e2d\u7684\u5173\u952e\u6b65\u9aa4\u6216\u8f6c\u6298\u70b9\u6709\u54ea\u4e9b\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Laskar\uff1a<\/strong>\u8fd9\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u8bf4\u6765\u8bdd\u957f\uff0c\u6211\u5c3d\u91cf\u7b80\u8981\u603b\u7ed3\u30021609\u5e74\uff0c\u5f00\u666e\u52d2\u53d1\u8868\u4e86\u300a\u5929\u6587\u5b66\u65b0\u8bba\u300b\uff0c\u63d0\u51fa\u884c\u661f\u6cbf\u692d\u5706\u8f68\u9053\u7ed5\u592a\u9633\u8fd0\u52a8\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u79cd\u7406\u8bba\u4e2d\uff0c\u8f68\u9053\u662f\u56fa\u5b9a\u7684\uff0c\u7a33\u5b9a\u6027\u5e76\u4e0d\u6210\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u7a33\u5b9a\u6027\u95ee\u9898\u88ab\u7cfb\u7edf\u5316\u5730\u63d0\u51fa\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u59cb\u4e8e\u725b\u987f\u30021687\u5e74\u4ed6\u63d0\u51fa\u4e07\u6709\u5f15\u529b\u7406\u8bba\u540e\uff0c\u5c31\u610f\u8bc6\u5230\u884c\u661f\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u76f8\u4e92\u5f15\u529b\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u884c\u661f\u8f68\u9053\u6270\u52a8\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e\u8fd9\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u725b\u987f\u63d0\u51fa\u8fc7\u4e00\u79cd\u5e26\u6709\u795e\u5b66\u8272\u5f69\u7684\u89e3\u91ca\uff1a\u4e0a\u5e1d\u9700\u8981\u65f6\u4e0d\u65f6\u5730\u8fd4\u56de\u592a\u9633\u7cfb\uff0c\u628a\u884c\u661f\u653e\u56de\u5230\u201c\u6b63\u786e\u7684\u4f4d\u7f6e\u201d\u4e0a\u53bb\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\u572818\u4e16\u7eaa\uff0c\u8d28\u7591\u592a\u9633\u7cfb\u7684\u7a33\u5b9a\u6027\u5c31\u5982\u540c\u8d28\u7591\u4e0a\u5e1d\u7684\u6743\u5a01\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u523018\u4e16\u7eaa\u672b\uff0c\u62c9\u666e\u62c9\u65af\u548c\u62c9\u683c\u6717\u65e5\u4e3a\u884c\u661f\u8f68\u9053\u7a33\u5b9a\u6027\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u89e3\u91ca\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u5728\u4e00\u9636\u8fd1\u4f3c\u4e0b\u5f97\u5230\u4e00\u4e2a\u91cd\u8981\u7ed3\u679c\uff1a\u884c\u661f\u95f4\u7684\u76f8\u4e92\u6270\u52a8\u4e0d\u4f1a\u6539\u53d8\u884c\u661f\u8f68\u9053\u7684\u5c3a\u5bf8\u3002\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u8bf4\uff0c\u692d\u5706\u8f68\u9053\u7684\u5f62\u72b6\u4f1a\u7f13\u6162\u53d8\u5316\u5e76\u53d1\u751f\u8fdb\u52a8\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u8be5\u8fd1\u4f3c\u6846\u67b6\u4e0b\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u53d8\u5316\u4e0d\u8db3\u4ee5\u5f15\u53d1\u8f68\u9053\u4ea4\u53c9\u548c\u884c\u661f\u78b0\u649e\u3002\u7531\u6b64\uff0c\u592a\u9633\u7cfb\u7684\u201c\u6c38\u6052\u7a33\u5b9a\u201d\u53c8\u91cd\u65b0\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u4fdd\u8bc1\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u53c8\u8fc7\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e16\u7eaa\uff0c19\u4e16\u7eaa\u672b\uff0c\u6cd5\u56fd\u6570\u5b66\u5bb6\u4ea8\u5229\u00b7\u5e9e\u52a0\u83b1\u8fc8\u51fa\u4e86\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u4e00\u6b65\u3002\u4ed6\u8bc1\u660e\u4e09\u4f53\u95ee\u9898\u662f\u4e0d\u53ef\u79ef\u7684\uff0c\u65e0\u6cd5\u5f97\u5230\u89e3\u6790\u89e3\u3002\u4ed6\u63ed\u793a\u53ef\u80fd\u5b58\u5728\u975e\u5e38\u590d\u6742\u7684\u8fd0\u52a8\uff0c\u521d\u59cb\u7684\u5fae\u5c0f\u5dee\u5f02\u4f1a\u968f\u65f6\u95f4\u6307\u6570\u653e\u5927\u2014\u2014\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u4eca\u5929\u6240\u8bf4\u7684\u201c\u6df7\u6c8c\u201d\u3002\u7136\u800c\u5e9e\u52a0\u83b1\u867d\u7136\u63ed\u793a\u4e86\u6df7\u6c8c\u884c\u4e3a\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\uff0c\u5374\u5e76\u672a\u636e\u6b64\u65ad\u8a00\u592a\u9633\u7cfb\u4e5f\u4f1a\u662f\u6df7\u6c8c\u7684\u3002\u5728\u5f53\u65f6\u7684\u7406\u89e3\u4e2d\uff0c\u4ed6\u503e\u5411\u4e8e\u8ba4\u4e3a\u6f6e\u6c50\u7b49\u8017\u6563\u6548\u5e94\u4f1a\u53d1\u6325\u4e3b\u8981\u4f5c\u7528\uff0c\u8ba9\u592a\u9633\u7cfb\u4fdd\u6301\u7a33\u5b9a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u968f\u540e\uff0c\u57281954\u52301963\u5e74\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u6570\u5b66\u5bb6\u79d1\u5c14\u83ab\u6208\u7f57\u592b\u3001\u963f\u8bfa\u5fb7\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u745e\u58eb\u6570\u5b66\u5bb6\u83ab\u6cfd\u8bc1\u660e\uff1a\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e0d\u53ef\u79ef\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u5bf9\u4e8e\u8d28\u91cf\u8db3\u591f\u5c0f\u7684\u5929\u4f53\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u4ecd\u6709\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u51c6\u5468\u671f\u8f68\u9053\u53ef\u4ee5\u957f\u671f\u5b58\u5728\u3002\u4f46\u6b63\u5982\u7c73\u6b47\u5c14\u00b7\u8d6b\u519c\u6240\u793a\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u7ed3\u8bba\u4ec5\u9002\u7528\u4e8e\u6781\u5c0f\u8d28\u91cf\u7684\u884c\u661f\u2014\u2014\u5176\u8d28\u91cf\u5fc5\u987b\u5c0f\u4e8e\u7535\u5b50\u8d28\u91cf\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u8be5\u7ed3\u8bba\u96be\u4ee5\u7528\u4e8e\u8bc1\u660e\u771f\u5b9e\u592a\u9633\u7cfb\u7684\u957f\u671f\u7a33\u5b9a\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b65\u5c31\u662f\u6211\u57281989\u5e74\u6240\u505a\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u3002\u6211\u5f00\u53d1\u4e86\u4e13\u7528\u7684\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u4ee3\u6570\u8ba1\u7b97\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u628a\u62c9\u666e\u62c9\u65af\u548c\u62c9\u683c\u6717\u65e5\u7684\u7ecf\u5178\u89e3\u6790\u63a8\u5e7f\u5230\u66f4\u9ad8\u9636\uff0c\u5e76\u7ed3\u5408\u6570\u503c\u79ef\u5206\uff0c\u5bf9\u592a\u9633\u7cfb\u8fdb\u884c\u4e862\u4ebf\u5e74\u7684\u6a21\u62df\u7814\u7a76\u3002\u7ed3\u679c\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u592a\u9633\u7cfb\u7684\u957f\u671f\u8fd0\u52a8\u5e76\u975e\u4e25\u683c\u7684\u51c6\u5468\u671f\u884c\u4e3a\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u6df7\u6c8c\u7684\u3002\u6df7\u6c8c\u610f\u5473\u7740\u5fae\u5c0f\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u4f1a\u968f\u65f6\u95f4\u6307\u6570\u653e\u5927\uff0c\u6bcf1\u5343\u4e07\u5e74\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u589e\u52a0\u4e00\u4e2a\u6570\u91cf\u7ea7\u3002\u6240\u4ee5\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u5f53\u524d\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u662f15\u7c73\uff0c\u7ecf\u8fc71\u5343\u4e07\u5e74\u540e\u5c06\u653e\u5927\u5230150\u7c73\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5dee\u5f02\u53ef\u4ee5\u5ffd\u7565\u4e0d\u8ba1\u3002\u4f46\u662f\u7ecf\u8fc71\u4ebf\u5e74\u540e\uff0c\u5b83\u5c06\u653e\u5927\u52301.5\u4ebf\u516c\u91cc\uff0815\u00d710\u00b9\u2070\u7c73\uff09\uff0c\u76f8\u5f53\u4e8e\u4ece\u592a\u9633\u5230\u5730\u7403\u7684\u8ddd\u79bb\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c31\u9020\u6210\u4e86\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

2008\u5e74\uff0c\u6211\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8bc1\u660e\u592a\u9633\u7cfb\u7684\u884c\u661f\u786e\u5b9e\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u53d1\u751f\u78b0\u649e\u3002\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u6211\u57281994\u5e74\u5c31\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e2a\u60f3\u6cd5\uff0c\u4f46\u90a3\u65f6\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u662f\u590d\u6742\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u548c\u5206\u6790\u5e73\u5747\u65b9\u7a0b\uff0c\u5e76\u4e0d\u5177\u6709\u7edd\u5bf9\u7684\u8bf4\u670d\u529b\u3002\u76f4\u52302008\u5e74\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u8ba1\u7b97\u80fd\u529b\u7684\u63d0\u5347\uff0c\u6211\u7528\u201c\u66b4\u529b\u65b9\u5f0f\u201d\u8bc1\u660e\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u76f8\u5173\u7ed3\u679c\u53d1\u8868\u4e8e\u300a\u81ea\u7136\u300b\u6742\u5fd7 [J Laskar et al. Nature 2009; 459: 817\u20139<\/em>]\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8ba1\u7b97\u5728\u5f88\u5927\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u518d\u73b0\u4e86\u62111994\u5e74\u7684\u7ed3\u8bba\uff0c\u5e76\u8bc1\u660e\u5730\u7403\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u572850\u4ebf\u5e74\u5185\u4e0e\u6c34\u661f\u3001\u706b\u661f\u6216\u91d1\u661f\u53d1\u751f\u78b0\u649e\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

NSR\uff1a<\/strong>\u5c55\u671b\u672a\u6765\uff0c\u60a8\u8ba4\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u6700\u63a5\u8fd1\u89e3\u5f00\u54ea\u4e9b\u592a\u9633\u7cfb\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u7684\u8c1c\u9898\uff1f\u54ea\u4e9b\u65b9\u9762\u4ecd\u7136\u6700\u96be\u4ee5\u6349\u6478\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Laskar\uff1a<\/strong>\u73b0\u5728\u6211\u4eec\u5df2\u7ecf\u6e05\u695a\uff0c\u592a\u9633\u7cfb\u5728\u957f\u671f\u5c3a\u5ea6\u4e0a\u8868\u73b0\u51fa\u6df7\u6c8c\u7279\u6027\u3002\u5728\u7edf\u8ba1\u610f\u4e49\u4e0a\uff0c\u884c\u661f\u78b0\u649e\u7684\u6982\u7387\u572850\u4ebf\u5e74\u5185\u5927\u7ea6\u662f1%\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e3b\u8981\u6d89\u53ca\u7684\u662f\u8f68\u9053\u6700\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\u7684\u884c\u661f\u2014\u2014\u6c34\u661f\u3002\u81f3\u4e8e\u6d89\u53ca\u5730\u7403\u7684\u78b0\u649e\u6982\u7387\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u4ecd\u7136\u7f3a\u4e4f\u53ef\u9760\u4f30\u8ba1\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u53ef\u4ee5\u5408\u7406\u5730\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5b83\u8981\u6bd4\u6c34\u661f\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u78b0\u649e\u6982\u7387\u5c0f\u5f97\u591a\u3002\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5728\u539f\u5219\u4e0a\u8fd9\u662f\u53ef\u4ee5\u8ba1\u7b97\u7684\uff0c\u4f46\u4ecd\u9700\u8981\u65f6\u95f4\u548c\u65b9\u6cd5\u4e0a\u7684\u6539\u8fdb\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u5173\u952e\u95ee\u9898\u662f\uff0c\u5982\u4f55\u91cd\u5efa\u8fc7\u53bb\u5927\u7ea640\u4ebf\u5e74\u4e2d\u884c\u661f\u8f68\u9053\u7684\u6f14\u5316\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u56de\u6eaf\u4ece\u592a\u9633\u7cfb\u5927\u81f4\u5f62\u6210\u76f4\u5230\u4eca\u5929\u7684\u6574\u4e2a\u6f14\u5316\u5386\u7a0b\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u7528\u7edf\u8ba1\u65b9\u6cd5\u63cf\u8ff0\u8fd9\u4e00\u957f\u671f\u6f14\u5316\u8fc7\u7a0b\uff0c\u4f46\u7531\u4e8e\u6df7\u6c8c\u884c\u4e3a\u7684\u9650\u5236\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u6211\u4eec\u8fd8\u65e0\u6cd5\u53ef\u9760\u5730\u91cd\u5efa\u65e9\u4e8e6000\u4e07\u5e74\u524d\u7684\u884c\u661f\u8f68\u9053\u72b6\u6001\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

02<\/strong>\u5927\u6d77\u635e\u9488\uff1a\u5bfb\u627e\u592a\u9633\u7cfb\u7684\u786e\u5b9a\u8fc7\u53bb<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

NSR\uff1a<\/strong>\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u6211\u4eec\u5f88\u96be\u91cd\u5efa\u592a\u9633\u7cfb\u65e9\u4e8e6000\u4e07\u5e74\u524d\u7684\u8fc7\u53bb\u72b6\u6001\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Laskar\uff1a<\/strong>\u4ece\u7406\u8bba\u4e0a\u8bb2\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6211\u4eec\u62e5\u6709\u5b8c\u5168\u7cbe\u786e\u7684\u5f53\u524d\u884c\u661f\u8f68\u9053\u53c2\u6570\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u5177\u5907\u65e0\u9650\u7cbe\u5bc6\u7684\u6570\u503c\u79ef\u5206\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u539f\u5219\u4e0a\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u4efb\u610f\u65f6\u95f4\u5c3a\u5ea6\u4e0a\u56de\u6eaf\u5e76\u5f97\u5230\u552f\u4e00\u7684\u884c\u661f\u8f68\u9053\u89e3\u3002\u4f46\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u505a\u4e0d\u5230\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u57282011\u5e74\u7684\u4e00\u9879\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\uff0c\u6211\u8bc1\u660e\u4e3b\u8981\u7684\u9650\u5236\u56e0\u7d20\u6765\u81ea\u51e0\u9897\u6700\u5927\u7684\u5c0f\u884c\u661f\u6240\u5f15\u8d77\u7684\u6270\u52a8\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u8c37\u795e\u661f\u548c\u7076\u795e\u661f\u3002\u5b83\u4eec\u81ea\u8eab\u7684\u8f68\u9053\u6f14\u5316\u662f\u6df7\u6c8c\u7684\uff0c\u5176\u5fae\u5c0f\u5dee\u5f02\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u4e0d\u52305\u4e07\u5e74\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u5c3a\u5ea6\u4e0a\u8fc5\u901f\u653e\u592710\u500d\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u7684\u7d2f\u79ef\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u884c\u661f\u8f68\u9053\u7684\u53ef\u9760\u53ef\u9884\u6d4b\u65f6\u95f4\u5c3a\u5ea6\u88ab\u9650\u5236\u5728\u5927\u7ea66000\u4e07\u5e74\u5de6\u53f3\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8fd9\u4e2a\u9650\u5236\u662f\u5f88\u96be\u7a81\u7834\u7684\u3002\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u521d\u59cb\u6761\u4ef6\u548c\u6a21\u578b\u7cbe\u5ea6\u5927\u5e45\u63d0\u5347\uff0c\u5728\u53ef\u8ffd\u6eaf\u65f6\u95f4\u5c3a\u5ea6\u4e0a\u7684\u6539\u5584\u4e5f\u6781\u5176\u6709\u9650\u3002\u6bd4\u5982\u628a\u521d\u59cb\u6761\u4ef6\u548c\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u7cbe\u5ea6\u90fd\u63d0\u9ad81000\u500d\uff0c\u4ece\u7c73\u7ea7\u63d0\u9ad8\u5230\u6beb\u7c73\u7ea7\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u4e5f\u53ea\u80fd\u5728\u9884\u6d4b\u4e0a\u524d\u8fdb15\u4e07\u5e74\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u8bf4\u5c06\u9884\u6d4b\u7cbe\u5ea6\u7684\u8fb9\u754c\u4ece6000\u4e07\u5e74\u63a8\u54116015\u4e07\u5e74\u3002\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\uff0c\u5927\u7ea66000\u4e07\u5e74\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u6781\u9650\u786e\u5b9e\u662f\u5185\u5728\u7684\uff0c\u5b83\u6e90\u4e8e\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e2d\u591a\u4f53\u76f8\u4e92\u4f5c\u7528\u7684\u6df7\u6c8c\u6027\u8d28\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u4ec5\u4ec5\u662f\u521d\u59cb\u6761\u4ef6\u7cbe\u5ea6\u4e0d\u8db3\u6240\u9020\u6210\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6211\u4eec\u80fd\u591f\u83b7\u5f97\u4e00\u4e9b\u5173\u4e8e\u884c\u661f\u8fc7\u53bb\u4f4d\u7f6e\u7684\u989d\u5916\u4fe1\u606f\uff0c\u5c31\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u4e00\u5b9a\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u7a81\u7834\u8fd9\u4e00\u6781\u9650\u3002\u4e0d\u5e78\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u6050\u9f99\u4e2d\u6ca1\u6709\u5929\u6587\u5b66\u5bb6\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u6ca1\u6709\u8bb0\u5f55\u8fc7\u884c\u661f\u7684\u4f4d\u7f6e\uff1b\u4f46\u5e78\u8fd0\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4fe1\u606f\u4ee5\u53e6\u4e00\u79cd\u65b9\u5f0f\u88ab\u95f4\u63a5\u5730\u4fdd\u5b58\u4e86\u4e0b\u6765\u2014\u2014\u5b83\u4eec\u88ab\u5370\u523b\u5728\u6c89\u79ef\u8bb0\u5f55\u4e4b\u4e2d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u57fa\u4e8e20\u4e16\u7eaa10\u523020\u5e74\u4ee3\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\uff0c\u585e\u5c14\u7ef4\u4e9a\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u7c73\u5362\u5ef7\u00b7\u7c73\u5170\u79d1\u7ef4\u5947\u4e8e1941\u5e74\u5b8c\u6210\u4e86\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u8f68\u9053\u6c14\u5019\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c\u5e76\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u300a\u65e5\u7167\u6cd5\u5178\u300b\uff0c\u9610\u660e\u8f68\u9053\u53d8\u5316\u5982\u4f55\u91cd\u5851\u592a\u9633\u8f90\u5c04\u7684\u65f6\u7a7a\u5206\u5e03\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u5f71\u54cd\u5730\u7403\u8fc7\u53bb\u7684\u6c14\u5019\u30021976\u5e74\u6d77\u65af\u3001\u82f1\u5e03\u91cc\u548c\u6c99\u514b\u5c14\u987f\u7684\u5f00\u521b\u6027\u7814\u7a76\u544a\u8bc9\u6211\u4eec\uff0c\u8f68\u9053\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u4fe1\u53f7\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u6c89\u79ef\u8bb0\u5f55\u4e2d\u88ab\u8bc6\u522b\u51fa\u6765\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u73b0\u5728\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u6b63\u8bd5\u56fe\u5229\u7528\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6c89\u79ef\u4fe1\u606f\u6765\u7ea6\u675f\u8fc7\u53bb\u592a\u9633\u7cfb\u7684\u6f14\u5316\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u6781\u5177\u6311\u6218\u6027\u7684\u4efb\u52a1\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b83\u9700\u8981\u8d28\u91cf\u6781\u9ad8\u3001\u65f6\u95f4\u8de8\u5ea6\u8db3\u591f\u957f\u7684\u6c89\u79ef\u5e8f\u5217\uff0c\u800c\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u8bb0\u5f55\u5e76\u4e0d\u591a\u3002\u5728\u8bb8\u591a\u5730\u8d28\u65f6\u95f4\u533a\u95f4\u5185\uff0c\u5f80\u5f80\u53ea\u6709\u4e00\u6761\u53ef\u7528\u7684\u9ad8\u8d28\u91cf\u6c89\u79ef\u8bb0\u5f55\uff0c\u800c\u8fd9\u662f\u4e0d\u591f\u7684\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u9700\u8981\u591a\u6761\u76f8\u4e92\u72ec\u7acb\u7684\u9ad8\u8d28\u91cf\u8bb0\u5f55\u76f8\u4e92\u5370\u8bc1\uff0c\u4ee5\u524a\u5f31\u5c40\u5730\u4e8b\u4ef6\u548c\u5404\u7c7b\u975e\u8f68\u9053\u8fc7\u7a0b\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u566a\u97f3\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u66f4\u6709\u8bf4\u670d\u529b\u5730\u6062\u590d\u51fa\u5929\u6587\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u73b0\u5728\u6211\u4eec\u771f\u6b63\u9700\u8981\u7684\u662f\u957f\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u7684\u9ad8\u8d28\u91cf\u6c89\u79ef\u8bb0\u5f55\u3002\u6211\u5e0c\u671b\u5728\u672a\u676510\u5e74\u5de6\u53f3\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u80fd\u591f\u8f83\u4e3a\u53ef\u9760\u5730\u91cd\u5efa\u51fa\u592a\u9633\u7cfb\u8fc7\u53bb\u7ea61\u4ebf\u5e74\u7684\u6f14\u5316\u5386\u53f2\uff0c\u800c\u4e0b\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u5c06\u8fd9\u4e00\u65f6\u95f4\u5c3a\u5ea6\u63a8\u8fdb\u5230\u6574\u4e2a\u4e2d\u751f\u4ee3\uff0c\u5927\u7ea62.5\u4ebf\u5e74\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

\u96c5\u514b\u00b7\u62c9\u65af\u5361\u6559\u6388\u4e0e\u6b66\u4e8e\u9756\u535a\u58eb\u540e\u5728\u5fb7\u56fd\u4e0d\u6765\u6885\u5ca9\u5fc3\u5e93\u5408\u5f71\uff0c\u8fd9\u91cc\u4fdd\u5b58\u7684\u5927\u6d0b\u94bb\u63a2\u9879\u76ee\u5ca9\u5fc3\u53ef\u7528\u4e8e\u91cd\u5efa\u8f68\u9053\u53c2\u6570\u3002\uff08\u53d7\u8bbf\u8005\u4f9b\u56fe\uff1b\u6444\u5f71\uff1a\u4e0d\u83b1\u6885\u5927\u5b66Thomas Westerhold\u535a\u58eb\uff09<\/p>\n\n\n\n

NSR\uff1a<\/strong>\u60a8\u80fd\u7b80\u8981\u4ecb\u7ecd\u4e00\u4e0bAstroGeo\u9879\u76ee\u5417\uff1f\u7ecf\u8fc7\u51e0\u5e74\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\uff0c\u5b83\u5728\u54ea\u4e9b\u65b9\u9762\u6539\u53d8\u4e86\u6211\u4eec\u5bf9\u592a\u9633\u7cfb\u6f14\u5316\u548c\u8fc7\u53bb\u6c14\u5019\u7684\u8ba4\u77e5\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Laskar\uff1a<\/strong>\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb\u4e09\u5341\u591a\u5e74\u91cc\uff0c\u5730\u8d28\u5b66\u5bb6\u4eec\u5e7f\u6cdb\u4f7f\u7528\u6211\u7684\u5929\u6587\u8f68\u9053\u89e3\u6765\u5efa\u7acb\u5730\u8d28\u8bb0\u5f55\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u6807\u5c3a\u3002\u6211\u4ece\u8bb8\u591a\u5e74\u524d\u5c31\u5f00\u59cb\u601d\u8003\uff0c\u4fdd\u5b58\u5728\u6c89\u79ef\u8bb0\u5f55\u4e2d\u7684\u5929\u6587\u4fe1\u606f\u662f\u5426\u53ef\u4ee5\u53cd\u8fc7\u6765\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e00\u79cd\u201c\u5929\u6587\u89c2\u6d4b\u201d\uff0c\u7528\u4ee5\u7ea6\u675f\u8f68\u9053\u89e3\u51b3\u65b9\u6848\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u5c1d\u8bd5\u7a81\u78346000\u4e07\u5e74\u7684\u53ef\u9884\u6d4b\u6781\u9650\u3002\u8fd9\u6b63\u662f\u6211\u5f00\u5c55AstroGeo\u9879\u76ee\u7684\u52a8\u673a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6211\u76f4\u52302020\u5e74\u624d\u771f\u6b63\u542f\u52a8\u8fd9\u4e2a\u9879\u76ee\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b83\u6d89\u53ca\u5929\u6587\u5b66\u3001\u5730\u7403\u79d1\u5b66\u548c\u6570\u5b66\u7b49\u591a\u4e2a\u5b66\u79d1\uff0c\u8de8\u5ea6\u975e\u5e38\u5927\u3002\u4e00\u5f00\u59cb\u6211\u6709\u4e9b\u72b9\u8c6b\u662f\u5426\u8981\u8ba9\u5b66\u751f\u6295\u8eab\u8fd9\u4e00\u65b9\u5411\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6211\u62c5\u5fc3\u8fd9\u6837\u9ad8\u5ea6\u8de8\u5b66\u79d1\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u4f1a\u8ba9\u4ed6\u4eec\u5728\u6bd5\u4e1a\u540e\u96be\u4ee5\u627e\u5230\u5bf9\u53e3\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6700\u7ec8\u51b3\u5b9a\u63a8\u8fdb\u65f6\uff0c\u6211\u540c\u65f6\u7533\u8bf7\u4e86\u6b27\u6d32\u548c\u6cd5\u56fd\u7684\u8d44\u52a9\u9879\u76ee\uff0c\u5e76\u6210\u529f\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u4e8c\u8005\u7684\u8d44\u52a9\u3002\u4ee4\u6211\u60ca\u8bb6\u7684\u662f\uff0c11\u4f4d\u8bc4\u5ba1\u4e13\u5bb6\u5bf9AstroGeo\u9879\u76ee\u7ed9\u51fa\u4e86\u975e\u5e38\u79ef\u6781\u7684\u53cd\u9988\u3002\u6211\u6ca1\u6709\u60f3\u5230\u4f1a\u5f97\u5230\u5982\u6b64\u4e00\u81f4\u7684\u652f\u6301\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5728\u9879\u76ee\u7533\u8bf7\u4e66\u4e2d\uff0c\u6211\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u51e0\u4e2a\u4e3b\u8981\u7684\u79d1\u5b66\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u800c\u5728\u5b9e\u9645\u63a8\u8fdb\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5df2\u7ecf\u5728\u81f3\u5c11\u4e24\u4e2a\u65b9\u5411\u4e0a\u53d6\u5f97\u4e86\u8d85\u51fa\u6700\u521d\u9884\u671f\u7684\u8fdb\u5c55\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u7b2c\u4e00\u4e2a\u65b9\u5411\u6d89\u53ca\u5730\u7403-\u6708\u7403\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u6f14\u5316\u3002\u963f\u6ce2\u7f57\u6837\u54c1\u8868\u660e\u6708\u7403\u5f62\u6210\u4e8e\u5927\u7ea645\u4ebf\u5e74\u524d\uff0c\u800c\u4ece\u6708\u7403\u5f53\u524d\u7684\u8fdc\u79bb\u901f\u7387\u8ba1\u7b97\u7684\u6708\u7403\u5e74\u9f84\u53ea\u670915\u4ebf\u5e74\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u5dee\u5f02\u56f0\u6270\u4e86\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u5c06\u8fd1\u534a\u4e2a\u4e16\u7eaa\u3002\u5728AstroGeo\u7684\u9879\u76ee\u7533\u8bf7\u4e66\u4e2d\uff0c\u6211\u8bf4\u6211\u4eec\u4f1a\u52aa\u529b\u5728\u8fd9\u4e00\u65b9\u5411\u4e0a\u53d6\u5f97\u8fdb\u5c55\uff0c\u800c\u4ee4\u6211\u611f\u5230\u610f\u5916\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\u5df2\u7ecf\u89e3\u51b3\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e00\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u79cd\u5728\u7269\u7406\u4e0a\u81ea\u6d3d\u7684\u6f14\u5316\u6846\u67b6\uff0c\u5c06\u6708\u7403\u7684\u5f62\u6210\u5e74\u9f84\u4e0e\u5176\u5f53\u524d\u8f68\u9053\u72b6\u6001\u7edf\u4e00\u4e86\u8d77\u6765 [Farhat et al. Astronomy and Astrophysics 2022; 665: L1<\/em>]\u3002\u867d\u7136\u8fd9\u672a\u5fc5\u662f\u6700\u7ec8\u7b54\u6848\uff0c\u4f46\u5b83\u663e\u8457\u6539\u53d8\u4e86\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e00\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u770b\u6cd5\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u4e5f\u5df2\u88ab\u5e7f\u6cdb\u5f15\u7528\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5728\u5730\u8d28\u5b66\u5bb6\u7814\u7a76\u6570\u5341\u4ebf\u5e74\u524d\u7684\u53e4\u8001\u6c89\u79ef\u8bb0\u5f55\u65f6\uff0c\u5e38\u88ab\u7528\u4f5c\u53c2\u8003\u80cc\u666f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

AstroGeo\u7684\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u91cd\u8981\u8fdb\u5c55\uff0c\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u5f00\u53d1\u4e86\u4e00\u5957\u540d\u4e3aAstroGeoFit\u7684\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u5b83\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u4e0d\u76f4\u63a5\u4f9d\u8d56\u73b0\u6709\u5929\u6587\u8f68\u9053\u89e3\u51b3\u65b9\u6848\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u4ece\u5730\u8d28\u6c89\u79ef\u8bb0\u5f55\u4e2d\u63d0\u53d6\u5929\u6587\u4fe1\u606f [Hoang N et al. Paleoceanogr Paleoclimatol 2025; 40: e2024PA005021<\/em>]\u3002\u8fd9\u4f7f\u6211\u4eec\u80fd\u591f\u4ece\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u5b9a\u91cf\u5730\u7ea6\u675f\u5730\u7403\u8f68\u9053\u53c2\u6570\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u4e3a\u91cd\u5efa\u66f4\u957f\u65f6\u95f4\u5c3a\u5ea6\u7684\u6f14\u5316\u5386\u53f2\u5e26\u6765\u65b0\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u76f8\u5173\u8bba\u6587\u7684\u53d1\u8868\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5df2\u5c06AstroGeoFit\u4ee5\u5f00\u6e90Python\u5305\u7684\u5f62\u5f0f\u53d1\u5e03\uff0c\u4f7f\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u80fd\u591f\u76f4\u63a5\u4f7f\u7528\u8fd9\u4e00\u65b9\u6cd5\uff08www.astrogeo.eu\uff09<\/p>\n\n\n\n

NSR\uff1a<\/strong>\u5bf9\u4e8e\u592a\u9633\u7cfb\u8f68\u9053\u7684\u8fc7\u53bb\uff0c\u60a8\u73b0\u5728\u6709\u51e0\u5343\u4e2a\u89e3\uff0c\u60a8\u60f3\u4ece\u4e2d\u627e\u5230\u6700\u7cbe\u786e\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u5417\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Laskar\uff1a<\/strong>\u7531\u4e8e\u7cfb\u7edf\u672c\u8eab\u7684\u6df7\u6c8c\u884c\u4e3a\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u73b0\u5728\u6709\u51e0\u5343\u4e2a\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u8f68\u9053\u89e3\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u89e3\u57286000\u4e07\u5e74\u4e4b\u540e\u5dee\u5f02\u5f88\u5927\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5f53\u7136\u5e0c\u671b\u80fd\u591f\u4ece\u4e2d\u8bc6\u522b\u51fa\u4e00\u4e2a\u6700\u7b26\u5408\u5730\u8d28\u4e0e\u5929\u6587\u8bc1\u636e\u7684\u6f14\u5316\u89e3\uff0c\u7528\u6765\u4ee3\u8868\u592a\u9633\u7cfb\u771f\u5b9e\u7684\u8fc7\u53bb\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u6311\u6218\u3002\u9884\u6d4b\u672a\u6765\u662f\u7b80\u5355\u7684\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6ca1\u6709\u4eba\u77e5\u9053\u672a\u6765\u4f1a\u600e\u6837\uff1b\u800c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u8fc7\u53bb\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u80fd\u591f\u627e\u5230\u8bc1\u636e\uff0c\u6765\u5224\u65ad\u54ea\u4e9b\u8f68\u9053\u89e3\u662f\u53ef\u4fe1\u7684\uff0c\u54ea\u4e9b\u5e76\u4e0d\u6210\u7acb\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

NSR\uff1a<\/strong>\u592a\u9633\u7cfb\u8fd8\u5904\u4e8e\u66f4\u5b8f\u5927\u7684\u94f6\u6cb3\u7cfb\u4e2d\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u80fd\u8ba1\u7b97\u592a\u9633\u7cfb\u6240\u53d7\u7684\u5916\u90e8\u5f71\u54cd\u5417\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Laskar\uff1a<\/strong>\u6211\u4eec\u77e5\u9053\u592a\u9633\u5728\u94f6\u6cb3\u7cfb\u4e2d\u7684\u8fd0\u52a8\u5927\u81f4\u53ef\u4ee5\u5206\u89e3\u4e3a\u4e24\u4e2a\u90e8\u5206\uff1a\u5b83\u7ed5\u94f6\u6cb3\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7684\u516c\u8f6c\uff0c\u5468\u671f\u5927\u7ea6\u4e3a2\u4ebf\u5e74\uff1b\u540c\u65f6\u8fd8\u4f34\u968f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5782\u5411\u632f\u8361\uff0c\u5468\u671f\u5927\u7ea6\u4e3a7000\u4e07\u5e74\u3002\u4f46\u5373\u4fbf\u6709\u4e86\u76d6\u4e9a\u536b\u661f\u4ee5\u53ca\u5176\u4ed6\u89c2\u6d4b\u8d44\u6599\uff0c\u592a\u9633\u5728\u94f6\u6cb3\u7cfb\u4e2d\u7684\u7cbe\u786e\u8fd0\u884c\u8f68\u9053\u4ecd\u7136\u662f\u672a\u77e5\u7684\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u8fd8\u5f88\u96be\u53ef\u9760\u5730\u5224\u65ad\u8fd9\u4e9b\u94f6\u6cb3\u5c3a\u5ea6\u7684\u8fd0\u52a8\u5982\u4f55\u5728\u5730\u8d28\u6c89\u79ef\u8bb0\u5f55\u4e2d\u7559\u4e0b\u53ef\u8bc6\u522b\u7684\u5370\u8bb0\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6211\u4e5f\u66fe\u5c1d\u8bd5\u8c03\u6574\u4e00\u4e2a\u94f6\u6cb3\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u53c2\u6570\uff0c\u5c1d\u8bd5\u5c06\u592a\u9633\u5728\u94f6\u6cb3\u7cfb\u4e2d\u7684\u8fd0\u52a8\u4e0e\u6d77\u5e73\u9762\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u5730\u8d28\u8bb0\u5f55\u5bf9\u5e94\u8d77\u6765\u3002\u4f46\u5728\u6211\u4eec\u83b7\u5f97\u592a\u9633\u5728\u94f6\u6cb3\u7cfb\u4e2d\u8fd0\u52a8\u7684\u66f4\u7cbe\u786e\u53c2\u6570\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u8fd9\u7c7b\u5c1d\u8bd5\u4ecd\u7136\u53ea\u662f\u63a8\u6d4b\u6027\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

03<\/strong>\u5929\u4f53\u529b\u5b66\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u8bba
<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

NSR\uff1a<\/strong>\u60a8\u8ba4\u4e3a\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\uff08AI\uff09\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u65b0\u7684\u8ba1\u7b97\u65b9\u6cd5\u5c06\u5728\u5929\u4f53\u529b\u5b66\u548c\u884c\u661f\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u4e2d\u53d1\u6325\u53d8\u9769\u6027\u4f5c\u7528\u5417\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Laskar\uff1a<\/strong>\u6211\u8ba4\u4e3aAI\u786e\u5b9e\u53ef\u4ee5\u53d1\u6325\u4e00\u5b9a\u4f5c\u7528\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5728\u6c89\u79ef\u6570\u636e\u8fd9\u7c7b\u9ad8\u7ef4\u3001\u590d\u6742\u6570\u636e\u7684\u5206\u6790\u65b9\u9762\u3002\u5728AstroGeoFit\u4e2d\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5df2\u7ecf\u5f15\u5165\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u57fa\u4e8e\u673a\u5668\u5b66\u4e60\u548c\u7edf\u8ba1\u5b66\u4e60\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u3002\u5728\u5929\u4f53\u529b\u5b66\u9886\u57df\uff0c\u6211\u77e5\u9053\u76ee\u524d\u4e5f\u6709\u4e00\u4e9b\u5c06AI\u65b9\u6cd5\u5f15\u5165\u5176\u4e2d\u7684\u5c1d\u8bd5\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u6211\u6700\u719f\u6089\u7684\u65b9\u5411\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

NSR\uff1a<\/strong>\u5982\u679c\u60a8\u7a81\u7136\u62e5\u6709\u5341\u500d\u7684\u8ba1\u7b97\u8d44\u6e90\uff0c\u60a8\u4f1a\u9996\u5148\u5c1d\u8bd5\u89e3\u51b3\u4ec0\u4e48\u95ee\u9898\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Laskar\uff1a<\/strong>\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\uff0c\u5728\u6211\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u7ecf\u5386\u4e2d\uff0c\u8ba1\u7b97\u8d44\u6e90\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u9650\u5236\u56e0\u7d20\uff1b\u66f4\u56f0\u96be\u7684\u5f80\u5f80\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u4ee5\u6b63\u786e\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u6765\u63d0\u51fa\u548c\u89e3\u51b3\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u5f53\u6211\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u5c55\u793a\u592a\u9633\u7cfb\u5177\u6709\u6df7\u6c8c\u7279\u6027\u65f6\uff0c\u53ea\u7528\u4e86100\u5c0f\u65f6\u7684\u8ba1\u7b97\u65f6\u95f4\u3002\u800c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u5177\u6709\u6307\u6570\u53d1\u6563\u7279\u6027\u7684\u6df7\u6c8c\u7cfb\u7edf\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u5355\u7eaf\u5c06\u8ba1\u7b97\u8d44\u6e90\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e00\u4e2a\u6570\u91cf\u7ea7\uff0c\u901a\u5e38\u53ea\u80fd\u5e26\u6765\u975e\u5e38\u6709\u9650\u7684\u6539\u8fdb\uff0c\u96be\u4ee5\u4ece\u6839\u672c\u4e0a\u6539\u53d8\u6211\u4eec\u80fd\u591f\u56de\u7b54\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

NSR\uff1a<\/strong>\u60a8\u7684\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u5de5\u4f5c\u90fd\u6d89\u53ca\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u6a21\u62df\uff0c\u4f46\u60a8\u6709\u505a\u8fc7\u5b9e\u9a8c\u5417\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Laskar\uff1a<\/strong>\u6709\u7684\u3002\u5927\u7ea6\u57282000\u5e74\u524d\u540e\uff0c\u6211\u548c\u5f53\u65f6\u7684\u535a\u58eb\u751fAlexandre Correia\u4e00\u8d77\u7814\u7a76\u4e86\u91d1\u661f\u7684\u81ea\u8f6c\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5c1d\u8bd5\u5efa\u7acb\u91d1\u661f\u5927\u6c14\u70ed\u6f6e\u7684\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u4f46\u6700\u521d\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u5e76\u4e0d\u5b8c\u5168\u4ee4\u4eba\u6ee1\u610f\u3002\u51e0\u5e74\u540e\uff0c\u6211\u5728\u81ea\u5bb6\u7684\u82b1\u56ed\u91cc\u642d\u5efa\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e0d\u9519\u7684\u6c14\u8c61\u89c2\u6d4b\u7ad9\uff0c\u8fde\u7eed\u8bb0\u5f55\u4e86\u4e00\u6574\u5e74\u3001\u4ee5\u5206\u949f\u4e3a\u65f6\u95f4\u5206\u8fa8\u7387\u7684\u5927\u6c14\u538b\u6570\u636e\u3002\u968f\u540e\uff0c\u6211\u5c06\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6570\u636e\u6309\u4e00\u4e2a\u592a\u9633\u65e5\u8fdb\u884c\u76f8\u4f4d\u6298\u53e0\uff0c\u5e76\u5bf9\u968f\u673a\u7684\u5929\u6c14\u6ce2\u52a8\u8fdb\u884c\u5e73\u5747\u5904\u7406\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u5f97\u5230\u4e86\u4e00\u6761\u975e\u5e38\u5e73\u6ed1\u7684\u66f2\u7ebf\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u6e05\u6670\u5730\u53cd\u6620\u5927\u6c14\u592a\u9633\u6f6e\u7684\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002\u5728\u6b64\u57fa\u7840\u4e0a\uff0c\u6211\u8ba9\u53e6\u4e00\u540d\u535a\u58eb\u751f\u7ee7\u7eed\u6df1\u5165\u5206\u6790\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u4e5f\u7531\u6b64\u53d1\u5c55\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u66f4\u52a0\u5408\u7406\u7684\u6a21\u578b[Auclair-Desrotour et al. Astronomy and Astrophysics 2017; 603: A108<\/em>]\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6211\u59cb\u7ec8\u66f4\u5173\u6ce8\u8981\u89e3\u51b3\u7684\u79d1\u5b66\u95ee\u9898\u672c\u8eab\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u62d8\u6ce5\u4e8e\u5177\u4f53\u91c7\u7528\u54ea\u4e00\u79cd\u65b9\u6cd5\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e\u6211\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u6211\u4f1a\u5229\u7528\u4e00\u5207\u5408\u9002\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u6765\u627e\u5230\u7b54\u6848\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

04<\/strong>\u56de\u987e\u4e0e\u5efa\u8bae
<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

NSR\uff1a<\/strong>\u60a8\u7684\u79d1\u7814\u4e4b\u8def\u662f\u4e00\u5e06\u98ce\u987a\u7684\u5417\uff1f\u662f\u5426\u9047\u5230\u8fc7\u4e00\u4e9b\u91cd\u5927\u6311\u6218\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Laskar\uff1a<\/strong>\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u6211\u7684\u5b66\u672f\u9053\u8def\u5e76\u4e0d\u5e73\u5766\u3002\u5728\u83b7\u5f97\u6211\u7684\u7b2c\u4e00\u4e2a\u6570\u5b66\u7855\u58eb\u5b66\u4f4d\u540e\uff0c\u6211\u6210\u4e3a\u4e86\u4e00\u540d\u9ad8\u4e2d\u6570\u5b66\u6559\u5e08\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u4e5f\u89c9\u5f97\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4efd\u4e0d\u9519\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u3002\u4f46\u8fc7\u4e86\u4e00\u6bb5\u65f6\u95f4\uff0c\u6211\u89c9\u5f97\u81ea\u5df1\u4e0d\u80fd\u5c31\u8fd9\u6837\u6559\u4e00\u8f88\u5b50\u4e66\uff0c\u4e8e\u662f\u5f00\u59cb\u5728\u4e1a\u4f59\u65f6\u95f4\u5b66\u4e60\u5fc3\u7406\u5b66\u3002\u6211\u53d1\u73b0\u5fc3\u7406\u5b66\u5f88\u6709\u610f\u601d\uff0c\u5e76\u5f00\u59cb\u60f3\u8981\u6539\u884c\u505a\u4e00\u540d\u7cbe\u795e\u79d1\u533b\u751f\u3002\u5982\u679c\u53ea\u662f\u8981\u53d6\u5f97\u5fc3\u7406\u5b66\u5b66\u4f4d\uff0c\u6211\u5b8c\u5168\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u6559\u4e66\u7684\u540c\u65f6\u5b8c\u6210\uff1b\u4f46\u662f\u8981\u8fdb\u5165\u533b\u5b66\u9662\u5b66\u4e60\u7684\u8bdd\uff0c\u5c31\u5fc5\u987b\u8981\u8f9e\u804c\u4e86\u3002\u4e3a\u4e86\u80fd\u591f\u5168\u804c\u5b66\u4e60\uff0c\u6211\u9700\u8981\u4e00\u4efd\u6536\u5165\u6765\u6e90\u3002\u6211\u60f3\u8981\u901a\u8fc7\u6559\u6388\u4e00\u4e9b\u9ad8\u85aa\u6570\u5b66\u8bfe\u7a0b\u6765\u6323\u4e00\u4e9b\u94b1\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u7c7b\u5c97\u4f4d\u901a\u5e38\u8981\u6c42\u901a\u8fc7\u6570\u5b66\u7684\u201c\u5bb6\u6559\u8d44\u201d\uff08\u5373\u6cd5\u56fd\u6700\u9ad8\u7ea7\u522b\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u6559\u5e08\u8d44\u683c\u8ba4\u8bc1\uff09\u3002\u6211\u51b3\u5b9a\u5148\u901a\u8fc7\u8fd9\u9879\u8003\u8bd5\uff0c\u4e8e\u662f\u91cd\u65b0\u56de\u53bb\u5b66\u4e60\u6570\u5b66\u3002\u6b63\u662f\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\uff0c\u6211\u53d1\u73b0\u79d1\u7814\u672c\u8eab\u662f\u4e00\u4ef6\u975e\u5e38\u4ee4\u4eba\u6109\u5feb\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\u3002\u5728\u901a\u8fc7\u6cd5\u56fd\u5bb6\u6559\u8d44\u540e\uff0c\u6211\u53c8\u653b\u8bfb\u4e86\u5929\u6587\u5b66\u4e0e\u5929\u4f53\u529b\u5b66\u7684\u7b2c\u4e8c\u4e2a\u7855\u58eb\u5b66\u4f4d\uff0c\u968f\u540e\u5f00\u59cb\u4e86\u6211\u7684\u535a\u58eb\u751f\u6daf\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u56e0\u4e3a\u6211\u5927\u5b66\u8bfb\u7684\u65e9\uff0c\u52a0\u4e0a18\u4e2a\u6708\u5c31\u62ff\u5230\u4e86\u535a\u58eb\u5b66\u4f4d\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u5c3d\u7ba1\u6211\u66fe\u6709\u4e09\u5e74\u7684\u9ad8\u4e2d\u6559\u5b66\u7ecf\u5386\uff0c\u4f46\u4ecd\u572829\u5c81\u65f6\u5c31\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u535a\u58eb\u5b66\u4f4d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

NSR\uff1a<\/strong>18\u4e2a\u6708\u62ff\u5230\u535a\u58eb\u5b66\u4f4d\uff0c\u8fd9\u6548\u7387\u771f\u662f\u60ca\u4eba\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Laskar\uff1a<\/strong>\u662f\u7684\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u6211\u5f53\u65f6\u5f88\u6709\u52a8\u529b\u3002\u5728\u653b\u8bfb\u7b2c\u4e8c\u4e2a\u7855\u58eb\u5b66\u4f4d\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u6709\u4e24\u4ef6\u4e8b\u5bf9\u6211\u7684\u89e6\u52a8\u5f88\u5927\u3002\u7b2c\u4e00\u4ef6\u4e8b\u662f\u610f\u8bc6\u5230\u4e09\u4f53\u95ee\u9898\u662f\u65e0\u89e3\u7684\u3002\u7b2c\u4e8c\u4ef6\u4e8b\u662f\uff0c\u6211\u53d1\u73b0\u6211\u4ece\u6570\u5b66\u80cc\u666f\u4e2d\u63a5\u89e6\u5230\u7684\u601d\u60f3\uff0c\u4e0e\u5f53\u65f6\u5929\u4f53\u529b\u5b66\u7684\u6559\u5b66\u5185\u5bb9\u4e4b\u95f4\u5b58\u5728\u660e\u663e\u9e3f\u6c9f\uff0c\u5929\u4f53\u529b\u5b66\u7814\u7a76\u5728\u65b9\u6cd5\u548c\u89c2\u5ff5\u4e0a\u975e\u5e38\u9648\u65e7\u3002\u6211\u771f\u7684\u5f88\u60f3\u5f25\u5408\u8fd9\u4e00\u9e3f\u6c9f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5f53\u65f6\u5929\u4f53\u529b\u5b66\u5728\u67d0\u79cd\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u201c\u5c18\u5c01\u201d\u7684\u9886\u57df\uff0c\u8bb8\u591a\u4eba\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5176\u4e2d\u5df2\u7ecf\u4e0d\u4f1a\u518d\u6709\u4ec0\u4e48\u91cd\u5927\u53d1\u73b0\u4e86\u3002\u4f46\u6211\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e2a\u9886\u57df\u975e\u5e38\u611f\u5174\u8da3\uff0c\u6211\u60f3\uff1a\u201c\u597d\u5427\uff0c\u90a3\u6211\u5c31\u62ff\u8d77\u626b\u5e1a\uff0c\u628a\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7070\u5c18\u90fd\u626b\u6389\u3002\u201d\u5982\u4eca\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u7684\u8bf4\u6cd5\u5df2\u7ecf\u548c\u5f53\u521d\u622a\u7136\u76f8\u53cd\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u4f1a\u8bf4\u6211\u5f88\u5e78\u8fd0\u80fd\u591f\u5728\u8fd9\u6837\u4e00\u4e2a\u91cd\u65b0\u53d8\u5f97\u5145\u6ee1\u6d3b\u529b\u548c\u6311\u6218\u7684\u9886\u57df\u4e2d\u5f00\u5c55\u7814\u7a76\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

NSR\uff1a<\/strong>\u9ad8\u4e2d\u6559\u5e08\u7684\u7ecf\u5386\u5bf9\u60a8\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u6709\u5e2e\u52a9\u5417\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Laskar\uff1a<\/strong>\u6709\u7684\u3002\u5f53\u4f60\u7ed9\u5c0f\u5b69\u5b50\u4eec\u4e0a\u8bfe\u65f6\uff0c\u4f60\u5fc5\u987b\u8bbe\u6cd5\u5f15\u8d77\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u5174\u8da3\u3002\u8fd9\u5e76\u4e0d\u5bb9\u6613\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u5728\u6570\u5b66\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u5b66\u79d1\u4e2d\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6211\u9010\u6e10\u5b66\u4f1a\u5728\u8868\u8fbe\u65f6\u59cb\u7ec8\u8003\u8651\u542c\u4f17\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u548c\u7406\u89e3\u65b9\u5f0f\u3002\u8fd9\u4e5f\u662f\u6211\u73b0\u5728\u4ecd\u7136\u5728\u52aa\u529b\u505a\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u7c7b\u4f3c\uff0c\u5fc3\u7406\u5b66\u7684\u5b66\u4e60\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e5f\u5bf9\u6211\u5f88\u6709\u5e2e\u52a9\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

NSR\uff1a<\/strong>\u60a8\u4f1a\u7ed9\u5e74\u8f7b\u7814\u7a76\u4eba\u5458\u4ec0\u4e48\u5efa\u8bae\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Laskar\uff1a<\/strong>\u6839\u636e\u6211\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u7ecf\u9a8c\uff0c\u6211\u4f1a\u8bf4\uff0c\u627e\u5230\u4e00\u4e2a\u4f60\u771f\u6b63\u6709\u70ed\u60c5\u6295\u5165\u3001\u5145\u6ee1\u52a8\u529b\u7684\u65b9\u5411\u975e\u5e38\u91cd\u8981\u3002\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fd9\u4f1a\u8ba9\u4f60\u4e0d\u5728\u610f\u4ed6\u4eba\u7684\u8bc4\u4ef7\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e0d\u5728\u4e4e\u5b83\u662f\u5426\u6070\u597d\u662f\u5f53\u4e0b\u6700\u70ed\u95e8\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u65b9\u5411\u3002\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u4fdd\u6301\u8d70\u51fa\u719f\u6089\u8def\u5f84\u3001\u63a2\u7d22\u672a\u77e5\u9886\u57df\u7684\u610f\u613f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6211\u6709\u65f6\u5c06\u79d1\u5b66\u7814\u7a76\u6bd4\u4f5c\u767b\u5c71\u3002\u6709\u4e9b\u4eba\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u5ba4\u5185\u6500\u5ca9\u5899\u4e0a\u8bad\u7ec3\u6709\u7d20\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u5728\u53d7\u4fdd\u62a4\u7684\u6237\u5916\u73af\u5883\u4e2d\u4e5f\u80fd\u5e94\u5bf9\u81ea\u5982\u3002\u4f46\u662f\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u767b\u5c71\uff0c\u5c1d\u8bd5\u8d70\u5411\u90a3\u4e9b\u4eba\u4eec\u8ba4\u4e3a\u96be\u4ee5\u5230\u8fbe\u7684\u5730\u65b9\uff0c\u5b8c\u5168\u662f\u53e6\u5916\u4e00\u56de\u4e8b\u3002\u8fd9\u5e76\u4e0d\u610f\u5473\u7740\u4f60\u4e00\u5b9a\u8981\u9009\u62e9\u4e00\u6761\u6700\u8270\u96be\u7684\u767b\u5c71\u8def\u7ebf\u3002\u505a\u201c\u597d\u7814\u7a76\u201d\u7684\u5173\u952e\u70b9\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u8981\u6562\u4e8e\u63a2\u7d22\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5c1a\u65e0\u4eba\u6d89\u8db3\u7684\u201c\u5c71\u5cf0\u201d\uff0c\u5e76\u52aa\u529b\u627e\u5230\u4e00\u6761\u80fd\u591f\u767b\u9876\u7684\u8def\u5f84\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5317\u4eac\u5927\u5b66\u535a\u58eb\u7814\u7a76\u751f\u5f20\u5c0f\u5b87\u5728\u7ffb\u8bd1\u7a3f\u6821\u5bf9\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u5e2e\u52a9<\/strong>
\u672c\u6587\u662fNSR Interview\u6587\u7ae0\u201cExploring the Chaotic Future and the Deterministic Past of the Solar System: An Interview with Jacques Laskar\u201d\u7684\u4e2d\u6587\u7248\u672c\u3002
\u82f1\u6587\u539f\u7248\u89c1\uff1ahttps:\/\/doi.org\/10.1093\/nsr\/nwag002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u884c\u661f\u78b0\u649e\u7684\u6982\u7387\u572850\u4ebf\u5e74\u5185\u5927\u7ea6\u662f1%\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":522,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-520","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-kexue"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/166880.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/640-5.png?fit=1080%2C679&ssl=1","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/166880.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/520","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/166880.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/166880.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/166880.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/166880.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=520"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/166880.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/520\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":524,"href":"https:\/\/166880.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/520\/revisions\/524"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/166880.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/522"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/166880.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=520"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/166880.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=520"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/166880.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=520"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}